Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 1.063052e-03 0.001208 0.001354 0.001511 0.001676 0.001844 0.002025
2025-07-13 7.962741e-04 0.001012 0.001240 0.001495 0.001770 0.002057 0.002375
2025-07-20 5.617934e-04 0.000823 0.001113 0.001450 0.001825 0.002223 0.002675
2025-07-27 4.284626e-04 0.000728 0.001078 0.001497 0.001975 0.002491 0.003085
2025-08-03 2.958529e-04 0.000613 0.001006 0.001494 0.002063 0.002689 0.003418
2025-08-10 1.619723e-04 0.000467 0.000879 0.001415 0.002058 0.002778 0.003626
2025-08-17 8.125498e-05 0.000369 0.000799 0.001383 0.002099 0.002914 0.003884
2025-08-24 2.058059e-05 0.000264 0.000694 0.001309 0.002084 0.002980 0.004059
2025-08-31 6.692043e-07 0.000204 0.000640 0.001294 0.002137 0.003122 0.004317
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000167 0.000616 0.001316 0.002231 0.003310 0.004626
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000118 0.000560 0.001287 0.002259 0.003417 0.004840
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000095 0.000547 0.001316 0.002356 0.003606 0.005146
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000083 0.000562 0.001400 0.002546 0.003927 0.005635
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000044 0.000505 0.001379 0.002602 0.004095 0.005952
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000013 0.000435 0.001332 0.002624 0.004221 0.006223
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000004 0.000424 0.001376 0.002766 0.004495 0.006670
2025-10-26 NaN NaN 0.000385 0.001371 0.002842 0.004688 0.007023
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000310 0.001294 0.002816 0.004753 0.007221
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000264 0.001263 0.002849 0.004889 0.007502
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000203 0.001191 0.002821 0.004945 0.007686
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000174 0.001177 0.002873 0.005102 0.007990
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.000162 0.001197 0.002974 0.005320 0.008366
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000132 0.001170 0.003003 0.005443 0.008627